While major prepayment models produce reasonable forecasts for broad segments of the mortgage market, they often have shortcomings. This is how Voya’s mortgage derivatives team exploited one structural misvaluation.
Markets are being tested on several fronts at once. But the important question is how these shocks travel—through inflation, monetary policy, funding conditions, or issuer fundamentals. That’s where resilience begins to diverge.
Jim Lydotes covers: 1) how health care is stabilizing, 2) why used cars could be an inflation indicator, and 3) why AI spending could crowd out hiring.