Senior Loan Talking Points
Bank building

Weekly Notables

Performance across broader markets remained volatile amid a mixed backdrop for risk assets. On the positive side, January’s nonfarm payrolls comfortably exceeded expectations, with 130k jobs added and the unemployment rate declining to 4.3%, helping to ease concerns of a softening labor market. However, weaker earnings alongside weaker guidance versus expectations from select technology companies and the spillover of AI-related disruption fears into other sectors weighed on sentiment. Major equity indices moved lower on the week, while credit spreads widened, partly driven by an increase in new-issue supply. In contrast, the US loan market found firmer footing this week, as the Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index (Index) returned 0.18% for the seven-day period ending February 12. The average Index bid price gained 8 basis points (bps), ending the week at 95.47. 

Primary market activity ticked modestly higher, with total issuance reaching $7.9 billion. New supply was roughly evenly split between acquisition-related deals and refinancing transactions. Month-to-date volume remains well below January’s robust pace, reflecting pronounced secondary market weakness this month. The forward calendar also remains light, with repayments outpacing new issuance by $7.8 billion, compared to a breakeven dynamic last week. 

Secondary market performance was mixed beneath the surface. While overall levels edged higher, dispersion remained elevated. The ongoing AI disruption risk continues to weigh on sentiment and has spread from software and tech-related sectors into other industries. While Software, a relatively large loan constituent sector, stabilized this week, Insurance Brokers (a much smaller sub-sector) came under pressure amid renewed AI concerns, with several larger issuers underperforming the broader market. The negative headline narrative also impacted CRO (clinical research organizations), real estate brokers and services and logistics-related issuers. Conversely, food products, and energy names outperformed. By rating cohorts, CCC-rated loans continued to materially lag higher-quality segments. 

CLO formation remained elevated, as managers priced twelve deals this week, bringing YTD issuance to $16.2 billion. On the other hand, outflows within retail loan funds accelerated, as Morningstar reported a net withdrawal of $456 million for the week ending February 11. 

There were no defaults in the Index this week.

Average Bid
February 1, 2022 –February 12, 2026
Average Bid
Average 3-YR Call Secondary Spreads 1,2
February 1, 2022 – February 6, 2026
Average 3-YR Call Secondary Spreads 1,2
Lagging 12-Month Payment Default Rate 3
February 1, 2022 – February 12, 2026
Lagging 12-Month Payment Default Rate 3
Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index Stats
Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index Stats

Source: Pitchbook Data, Inc./LCD, Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index. Additional footnotes and disclosures on back page. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investors cannot invest directly in the Index. *The Index’s average nominal spread calculation includes the benefit of base rate floors (where applicable).

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Unless otherwise noted, the source for all data in this report is Pitchbook Data, Inc/LCD. Pitchbook Data/LCD does not make any representations or warranties as to the completeness, accuracy or sufficiency of the data in this report. 

1. Assumes 3 Year Maturity. Three-year maturity assumption: (i) all loans pay off at par in 3 years, (ii) discount from par is amortized evenly over the 3 years as additional spread, and (iii) no other principal payments during the 3 years. Discounted spread is calculated based upon the current bid price, not on par. Please note that Index yield data is only available on a lagging basis, thus the data demonstrated is as of February 6, 2026. 

2. Excludes facilities that are currently in default. 

3. Issuer default rate is calculated as the number of defaults over the last twelve months divided by the number of issuers in the Index at the beginning of the twelve-month period. Principal default rate is calculated as the amount defaulted over the last twelve months divided by the amount outstanding at the beginning of the twelve-month period.

General Risks for Floating Rate Senior Loans: Floating rate senior loans involve certain risks. Below investment grade assets carry a higher than normal risk that borrowers may default in the timely payment of principal and interest on their loans, which would likely cause the value of the investment to decrease. Changes in short-term market interest rates will directly affect the yield on investments in floating rate senior loans. If such rates fall, the investment’s yield will also fall. If interest rate spreads on loans decline in general, the yield on such loans will fall and the value of such loans may decrease. When short-term market interest rates rise, because of the lag between changes in such short-term rates and the resetting of the floating rates on senior loans, the impact of rising rates will be delayed to the extent of such lag. Because of the limited secondary market for floating rate senior loans, the ability to sell these loans in a timely fashion and/or at a favorable price may be limited. An increase or decrease in the demand for loans may adversely affect the loans.

This commentary has been prepared by Voya Investment Management for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as (i) an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any security or (ii) a recommendation as to the advisability of investing in, purchasing or selling any security. Any opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment and are subject to change. Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (1) general economic conditions, (2) performance of financial markets, (3) changes in laws and regulations and (4) changes in the policies of governments and/or regulatory authorities. The opinions, views and information expressed in this commentary regarding holdings are subject to change without notice. The information provided regarding holdings is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Fund holdings are fluid and are subject to daily change based on market conditions and other factors. 

The information contained in this document has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell any security or to participate in any trading activity. This document is intended only for professional investors and describes a strategy only. Any products or securities that are mentioned in this document have their own particular terms and conditions, which should be consulted before entering into any transaction. 

In relation to all the investment funds mentioned in this document, a Financial Instruction Leaflet or simplified prospectus has been published containing all necessary information about the product, the costs and the risks involved. Do not take unnecessary risk. Read the Financial Instruction Leaflet or prospectus. Investment funds do not offer guaranteed returns and any past returns are not indicative of, nor do they secure, future returns. 

The material presented is compiled from sources thought to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. Neither Voya Investment Management nor any other company or unit belonging to Voya Financial, nor any of its officers, directors, or employees accept any liability or responsibility in respect to the information or any recommendations expressed herein. No liability is accepted for any losses sustained by readers as a result of using this publication or basing decisions on it. The value of your investments may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investments involve risk. The primary risks of investing in senior bank loans include, but are not limited to, credit risk (the risk that a borrower may default in the payment of interest and/or principal on its loans), interest rate risk (the risk that the yield on an investment will rise and fall in response to changes in market rates of interest), and market risk (the risk that the value of a loan will rise or fall in response to general economic conditions and events). Senior bank loans are typically below investment grade in quality and therefore present a greater than normal risk of default. 

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