- The U.S. loan market remained steady this week, as the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index (the “Index”) gained 0.06% for the seven days ended October 14. Returns were a function of the interest carry with the market value component showing a slightly negative reading. The average Index bid price moved lower by two bps, to 98.63.
- New-issue deal flow softened relative to the prior week. In total, loan arrangers syndicated $10.8 billion, down from $16.1 billion last week. M&A activity, however, remained in high gear, representing 87% of the entire volume. Looking at the forward pipeline, net expected supply is set to total $17.3 billion (net of anticipated repayments), a decent increase from the prior reported figure of $14.7 billion.
- In the secondary market, earnings season started off with a few issuers reporting quarterly results this week. While trading levels were mostly unchanged, lower-rated credits, on average, continued to trail higher quality for the month of October.
- On the investor demand front, CLO managers printed seven more deals this week, bringing MTD and YTD issuance levels to $8.2 billion and $138.4 billion, respectively. Meanwhile, retail loan funds saw another $560 million of inflows for the week ended October 13 as per Lipper FMI weekly reporters.
- There were no defaults in the Index this week. The trailing-12-month default rate is currently sitting at historically low levels of just 12 bps by amount outstanding.
Source: S&P/LCD, S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index and S&P Global Market Intelligence. Additional footnotes and disclosures on back page. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investors cannot invest directly in the Index.
Unless otherwise noted, the source for all data in this report is Standard & Poor’s/LCD. S&P/LCD does not make any representations or warranties as to the completeness, accuracy or sufficiency of the data in this report.
1. Assumes 3 Year Maturity. Three-year maturity assumption: (i) all loans pay off at par in 3 years, (ii) discount from par is amortized evenly over the 3 years as additional spread, and (iii) no other principal payments during the 3 years. Discounted spread is calculated based upon the current bid price, not on par. Please note that Index yield data is only available on a lagging basis, thus the data demonstrated is as of October 8, 2021.
2. Excludes facilities that are currently in default.
3. Comprises all loans, including those not tracked in the LPC mark-to-market service. Vast majority are institutional tranches. Issuer default rate is calculated as the number of defaults over the last twelve months divided by the number of issuers in the Index at the beginning of the twelve-month period. Principal default rate is calculated as the amount defaulted over the last twelve months divided by the amount outstanding at the beginning of the twelve-month period.
General Risks for Floating Rate Senior Loans: Floating rate senior loans involve certain risks. Below investment grade assets carry a higher than normal risk that borrowers may default in the timely payment of principal and interest on their loans, which would likely cause the value of the investment to decrease. Changes in short-term market interest rates will directly affect the yield on investments in floating rate senior loans. If such rates fall, the investment’s yield will also fall. If interest rate spreads on loans decline in general, the yield on such loans will fall and the value of such loans may decrease. When short-term market interest rates rise, because of the lag between changes in such short-term rates and the resetting of the floating rates on senior loans, the impact of rising rates will be delayed to the extent of such lag. Because of the limited secondary market for floating rate senior loans, the ability to sell these loans in a timely fashion and/or at a favorable price may be limited. An increase or decrease in the demand for loans may adversely affect the loans.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.