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Differentiating between idiosyncratic and systemic risk is critical in the current market environment.
This month, learn how U.S. economic growth and the expected path of U.S. interest rates affect our outlook for stocks.
Our optimistic outlook for stocks presumes a continuation of the global expansion. Supporting the U.S. fundamental picture are a flat Phillips curve, high corporate free cash flow and lack of private sector imbalances.
Differentiating between idiosyncratic and systemic risk is critical in the current market environment.
This month, learn how U.S. economic growth and the expected path of U.S. interest rates affect our outlook for stocks.
Our optimistic outlook for stocks presumes a continuation of the global expansion. Supporting the U.S. fundamental picture are a flat Phillips curve, high corporate free cash flow and lack of private sector imbalances.
We remain focused on our central theme of positioning portfolios to avoid downside velocity. Regarding trade concerns, this means reducing exposure to globally-oriented investment grade credits and monitoring emerging market opportunities.
The first half of 2018 has seen broad retrenchment from last year's strong returns and low volatility. But if fundamentals hold up the second half may be quite different.
Policy and Growth: Divergence on the Global Stage Conditions are supportive for fixed income but portend muted returns and favor assets that can withstand episodes of volatility.