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We expect a big bounce in 3Q20 global growth, but because an effective COVID-19 vaccine is unlikely until mid- to late-2021, further gains in 4Q20 and 1H21 will prove more difficult.
Never mind the recent uptick in inflation—we believe the Fed’s zero interest rate policy is here to stay.
As U.S. COVID-19 cases increase, so does the risk that economic recovery decelerates. We think policy makers will do what it takes to sustain the recovery, and therefore continue to prefer U.S. equities over bonds.
Highlights from the week of September 11 – September 17, 2020.
Highlights from the week of September 4 – September 10, 2020.
We expect a big bounce in 3Q20 global growth, but because an effective COVID-19 vaccine is unlikely until mid- to late-2021, further gains in 4Q20 and 1H21 will prove more difficult.
Never mind the recent uptick in inflation—we believe the Fed’s zero interest rate policy is here to stay.
Highlights from the week of August 14 – August 20, 2020.
Highlights from the week of August 7 – August 13, 2020.
As U.S. COVID-19 cases increase, so does the risk that economic recovery decelerates. We think policy makers will do what it takes to sustain the recovery, and therefore continue to prefer U.S. equities over bonds.
As May and June numbers are proving out, policy support is the lifeline the economy needs, serving as a bridge to help consumers emerge on the other side of the pandemic intact.
The fixed income landscape is being shaped by six key themes—this is how we are positioning portfolios in the second half of the year.
Despite our expectations for a dreadful drop in 2Q20 output, we believe a recovery will commence in 3Q20 and lead to a meaningful acceleration beginning in 2021. Accordingly, stocks still look more attractive to us than bonds.